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German real estate sector faces challenges amidst plummeting demand

In Frankfurt, the statistics office revealed that there was a 27% decrease in building permits issued for apartments in Germany during the first six months of the year. This decline highlights the ongoing decrease in demand that is affecting the construction and real estate sector. The drop in permits has led to requests for assistance from Berlin to provide stimulus and support to the industry. This request is particularly timely as there is a scheduled meeting next month with Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

The drop in demand was linked by the statistics office to elevated construction expenses and challenges in securing funding, elements that have exacerbated pressures throughout the wider industry.

 

For a while, the nation enjoyed an era of inexpensive funds that drove a surge in the real estate market. However, the industry is currently contending with a significant shift in circumstances, as the European Central Bank increases interest rates in its efforts to combat inflation.

Over the past few weeks, several real estate companies have declared bankruptcy, and data indicates a sharp decline in construction activity and residential real estate values. During the initial six months of the year, permits were issued for the construction of 135,200 apartments, marking a decrease of 50,600 compared to the previous year.

While Germany's objective is to construct 400,000 apartments annually, the nation has encountered challenges in achieving this target. The decrease in approvals for single-family and two-family homes was even more pronounced, experiencing drops of 35% and 53% respectively.

As Europe's largest economy and the most significant real estate investment market on the continent, Germany heavily relies on the real estate sector, which contributes around a fifth of its economic production and supports one in ten jobs.

In an attempt to address the decline, politicians, ministries, and the real estate industry will gather with Chancellor Olaf Scholz on September 25th to explore potential solutions. Some stakeholders have already put forth suggestions to revive the industry. Similar vulnerabilities within the real estate domain have also been observed in the United States, Sweden, and China.

 

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